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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199909-199911

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
14
44
61
0
0
3
3
3
14
47
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
22
69
95
0
0
5
5
5
22
73
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.266
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.36 0.06
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.102
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.030
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.102
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.055
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.230 0.064
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.014 0.018
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.064
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.770 0.000
samples: 3 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 4.69 %coverage: 100.00