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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199910-199912

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
0
13
90
103
0
0
0
0
0
14
92
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
33
67
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
0
12
85
97
0
0
0
0
0
13
87
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.123
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 7.36 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.316
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.007
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.316
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.007 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.929 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.874 0.000
samples: 3 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 2.83 %coverage: 100.00