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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199910-199912

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
1
2
0
8
54
62
0
0
0
0
0
9
55
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
25
25
50
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
3
0
13
84
97
0
0
0
0
0
14
86
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.125
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 2.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 6.89 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.313
true Heidke skill score: -0.143 true Heidke skill score: -0.013
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.313
true Kuipers skill score: -0.333 true Kuipers skill score: -0.046
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.127 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.013 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.871 0.000
samples: 4 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 6.25 %coverage: 100.00