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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199910-199912

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
9
54
63
0
0
1
1
0
9
55
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
0
50
50
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
14
84
98
0
0
2
2
0
14
86
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.156
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 7.00 0.02
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.266
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.005
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.266
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.143 0.018
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.003 0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.018
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.857 0.000
samples: 2 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 3.12 %coverage: 100.00