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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199911-200001

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
4
59
63
0
0
0
0
0
4
60
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
0
6
92
98
0
0
0
0
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.062
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 15.75 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.406
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.406
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.008
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.063 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.001 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.937 0.000
samples: 1 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 1.56 %coverage: 100.00