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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
7
7
0
0
8
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
8
91
99
0
0
7
7
0
8
98
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
13
0
0
88
88
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
8
86
93
0
0
7
7
0
8
92
100

hitrate: 0.875 hitrate: 0.142
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.88
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 12.38 0.07
Heidke skill score: 0.812 Heidke skill score: -0.288
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.011
Kuipers skill score: 0.812 Kuipers skill score: -0.288
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.071
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.875
threat score:
0.000 0.081 0.071
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 0.006
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.875
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.071
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.919 0.000
samples: 8 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 7.55 %coverage: 100.00