CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
0
0
6
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
54
58
0
0
6
6
0
4
60
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
84
91
0
0
9
9
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.156
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 14.50 0.10
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.266
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.014
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.266
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.100
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.069 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.007 0.007
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.100
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.931 0.000
samples: 6 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 9.38 %coverage: 100.00