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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
24
24
0
0
24
24

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
36
40
0
0
24
24
0
4
60
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
56
63
0
0
38
38
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.438
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 10.00 0.40
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.156
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.077
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.156
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.100 0.400
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.040 0.040
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.400
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.900 0.000
samples: 24 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 37.50 %coverage: 100.00