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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
55
59
0
0
5
5
0
4
60
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
86
92
0
0
8
8
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.141
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 14.75 0.08
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.289
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.011
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.289
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.083
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.068 0.083
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 0.006
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.932 0.000
samples: 5 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 7.81 %coverage: 100.00