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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200001-200003

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
38
40
0
2
38
40

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
21
25
0
2
38
40
0
6
59
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
95
100
0
5
95
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
32
38
0
3
58
62
0
9
91
100

hitrate: 0.950 hitrate: 0.646
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.05
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 4.17 0.68
Heidke skill score: 0.925 Heidke skill score: 0.469
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.128
Kuipers skill score: 0.925 Kuipers skill score: 0.469
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.311
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.950
threat score:
0.000 0.148 0.623
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.069 0.069
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.644
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.050
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.840 0.050
samples: 40 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 61.54 %coverage: 100.00