CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200001-200003

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
1
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
29
29
0
2
32
34

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
1
3
0
4
29
33
0
0
29
29
0
6
59
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
6
3
9
0
0
6
6
0
0
85
85
0
6
94
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
2
5
0
6
45
51
0
0
45
45
0
9
91
100

hitrate: 0.853 hitrate: 0.508
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 0.91
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 5.50 0.49
Heidke skill score: 0.779 Heidke skill score: 0.262
true Heidke skill score: 0.241 true Heidke skill score: 0.102
Kuipers skill score: 0.779 Kuipers skill score: 0.262
true Kuipers skill score: 0.422 true Kuipers skill score: 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.906
threat score:
0.000 0.114 0.492
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.030 0.363
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.030 0.082
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.906
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.492
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.879 0.000
samples: 34 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 52.31 %coverage: 100.00