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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002-200004

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
8
10
0
2
8
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
3
52
55
0
2
8
10
0
5
60
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
100
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
80
85
0
3
12
15
0
8
92
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.169
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 11.00 0.17
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: -0.246
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.048
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: -0.246
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.267
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.053 0.129
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.023 -0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.600 0.133
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.945 0.200
samples: 10 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 15.38 %coverage: 100.00