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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002-200004

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
13
15
0
2
13
15

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
3
47
50
0
2
13
15
0
5
60
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
87
100
0
13
87
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
72
77
0
3
20
23
0
8
92
100

hitrate: 0.867 hitrate: 0.246
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.15
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 10.00 0.25
Heidke skill score: 0.800 Heidke skill score: -0.131
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.036
Kuipers skill score: 0.800 Kuipers skill score: -0.131
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.183
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.867
threat score:
0.000 0.058 0.210
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 -0.018
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.600 0.217
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.133
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.940 0.133
samples: 15 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 23.08 %coverage: 100.00