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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002-200004

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
16
18
0
2
16
18

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
3
44
47
0
2
16
18
0
5
60
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
89
100
0
11
89
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
68
72
0
3
25
28
0
8
92
100

hitrate: 0.889 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.12
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 9.40 0.30
Heidke skill score: 0.833 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.027
Kuipers skill score: 0.833 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.133
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.889
threat score:
0.000 0.061 0.258
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.014 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.600 0.267
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.936 0.111
samples: 18 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 27.69 %coverage: 100.00