CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002-200004

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
0
1
18
19
0
3
21
24

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
3
42
45
0
1
18
19
0
5
60
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
0
4
0
4
13
17
0
4
75
79
0
13
88
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
0
5
65
69
0
2
28
29
0
8
92
100

hitrate: 0.792 hitrate: 0.323
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.33 0.90
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 9.00 0.32
Heidke skill score: 0.688 Heidke skill score: -0.015
true Heidke skill score: 0.273 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: 0.688 Kuipers skill score: -0.015
true Kuipers skill score: 0.357 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.167 0.818
threat score:
0.000 0.064 0.295
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.091 0.256
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.011 0.011
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 0.857
probability of detection:
0.000 0.600 0.300
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.750 0.053
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.933 0.053
samples: 24 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 36.92 %coverage: 100.00