CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200003-200005

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
3
4
0
0
4
4
0
0
10
10
0
1
17
18

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
3
4
0
3
49
52
0
0
10
10
0
4
62
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
6
17
22
0
0
22
22
0
0
56
56
0
6
94
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
5
6
0
5
74
79
0
0
15
15
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 0.556 hitrate: 0.197
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 4.00 0.59
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 13.00 0.16
Heidke skill score: 0.333 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: 0.040 true Heidke skill score: 0.009
Kuipers skill score: 0.333 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: 0.176 true Kuipers skill score: 0.060
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.588
threat score:
0.000 0.057 0.161
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.047 0.074
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.003 0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.588
probability of detection:
0.000 0.750 0.161
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.942 0.000
samples: 18 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 27.27 %coverage: 100.00