CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200003-200005

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
11
12
0
1
11
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
3
51
54
0
1
11
12
0
4
62
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
92
100
0
8
92
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
77
82
0
2
17
18
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 0.917 hitrate: 0.212
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.09
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 13.50 0.19
Heidke skill score: 0.875 Heidke skill score: -0.182
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.011
Kuipers skill score: 0.875 Kuipers skill score: -0.182
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.073
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.917
threat score:
0.000 0.055 0.175
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.005 -0.005
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.750 0.177
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.944 0.083
samples: 12 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 18.18 %coverage: 100.00