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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200004-200006

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
31
31
66
0
0
0
0
4
31
31
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
47
47
100
0
0
0
0
6
47
47
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.470
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.13 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.205
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.205
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 1.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.470 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.530 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00