CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200004-200006

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
30
31
65
0
1
0
1
4
31
31
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
45
47
98
0
2
0
2
6
47
47
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.455
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.10 0.03
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.182
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.029
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.182
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.027
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.455 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.968 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.538 1.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00