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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200005-200007

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
6
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
6
6
9
26
25
60
0
0
0
0
9
26
31
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
86
86
0
0
14
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
9
9
14
39
38
91
0
0
0
0
14
39
47
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.394
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.67 2.31 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.037
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.091
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.039
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.433 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.058 0.065 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.567 0.000
samples: 7 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 10.61 %coverage: 100.00