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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200005-200007

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
26
28
63
0
0
3
3
9
26
31
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
39
42
95
0
0
5
5
14
39
47
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.439
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.42 0.10
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.159
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.070
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.159
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.069
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.413 0.097
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.031 0.054
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.097
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.587 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00