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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200006-200008

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
8
2
13
23
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
2
13
23

contingency table
fcst
obs
8
2
13
23
10
15
18
43
0
0
0
0
18
17
31
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
35
9
57
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35
9
57
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
12
3
20
35
15
23
27
65
0
0
0
0
27
26
47
100

hitrate: 0.348 hitrate: 0.348
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.88 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.28 2.53 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.022 Heidke skill score: 0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.116
Kuipers skill score: 0.022 Kuipers skill score: 0.023
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.134
threat score:
0.348 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.242 0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.065 0.116 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.444 0.882 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.652 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.652 0.651 0.000
samples: 23 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 34.85 %coverage: 100.00