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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200008-200010

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
7
23
30
1
8
24
33

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
17
14
38
0
7
23
30
7
24
37
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
9
0
21
70
91
3
24
73
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
25
21
56
0
10
34
44
10
35
54
100

hitrate: 0.727 hitrate: 0.588
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.38 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.58 0.81
Heidke skill score: 0.591 Heidke skill score: 0.382
true Heidke skill score: 0.139 true Heidke skill score: 0.268
Kuipers skill score: 0.591 Kuipers skill score: 0.382
true Kuipers skill score: 0.107 true Kuipers skill score: 0.265
threat score:
0.000 0.100 0.742
threat score:
0.000 0.378 0.523
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.029 0.129
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.114 0.241
probability of detection:
0.000 0.125 0.958
probability of detection:
0.000 0.708 0.622
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.233
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.553 0.233
samples: 33 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 48.53 %coverage: 100.00