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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
10
0
13
3
10
0
13

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
22
6
55
3
10
0
13
30
32
6
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
23
77
0
100
23
77
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
40
32
9
81
4
15
0
19
44
47
9
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.324
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.72 2.17
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.015
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.123
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.015
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.128
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.338 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.099 -0.064
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.688 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 1.000
samples: 13 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 19.12 %coverage: 100.00