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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
11
2
18
5
11
2
18

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
21
4
50
5
11
2
18
30
32
6
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
28
61
11
100
28
61
11
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
31
6
74
7
16
3
26
44
47
9
100

hitrate: 0.111 hitrate: 0.338
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 9.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.56 3.00
Heidke skill score: -0.333 Heidke skill score: 0.007
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.049
Kuipers skill score: -0.333 Kuipers skill score: 0.007
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.054
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.111
threat score:
0.000 0.344 0.091
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.068 0.020
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.656 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.889
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.580 0.889
samples: 18 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 26.47 %coverage: 100.00