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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
0
5
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
28
6
64
0
4
0
4
30
32
6
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
20
0
80
0
80
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
44
41
9
94
0
6
0
6
44
47
9
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.412
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.20 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.00 0.67
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: 0.118
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.066
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: 0.118
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.063
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.412 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.056 -0.037
probability of detection:
0.000 0.200 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.875 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.562 1.000
samples: 5 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 7.35 %coverage: 100.00