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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
28
6
64
0
2
0
2
30
30
6
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
45
42
9
97
0
3
0
3
45
45
9
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.424
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.13 0.33
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.136
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.035
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.136
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.033
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.424 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.030 -0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.933 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.562 1.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00