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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
5
1
4
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
26
6
61
1
4
0
5
30
30
6
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
0
100
20
80
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
44
39
9
92
2
6
0
8
45
45
9
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.394
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.03 0.83
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.058
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.091
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.057
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.400 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.046 -0.043
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.867 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.574 1.000
samples: 5 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 7.58 %coverage: 100.00