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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
0
8
3
5
0
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
25
6
58
3
5
0
8
30
30
6
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38
63
0
100
38
63
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
41
38
9
88
5
8
0
12
45
45
9
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.93 1.33
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.054
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.055
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.397 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.037 -0.055
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.833 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.569 1.000
samples: 8 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 12.12 %coverage: 100.00