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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200010-200012

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
7
0
65
3
0
0
3
61
7
0
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
85
10
0
96
4
0
0
4
90
10
0
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.103
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 9.29 --
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.346
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.005
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.346
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.108 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.005 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.892 1.000
samples: 3 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 4.41 %coverage: 100.00