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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200010-200012

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
4
3
1
0
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
6
0
64
3
1
0
4
61
7
0
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
75
25
0
100
75
25
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
85
9
0
94
4
1
0
6
90
10
0
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.088
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 9.14 --
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.368
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.010
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.368
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.047
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.092 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.010 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.906 1.000
samples: 4 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 5.88 %coverage: 100.00