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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200010-200012

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
6
0
64
1
1
0
2
59
7
0
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
0
0
33
33
33
0
67
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
88
9
0
97
2
2
0
3
89
11
0
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.091
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 9.14 --
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.364
true Heidke skill score: -0.125 true Heidke skill score: -0.013
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.364
true Kuipers skill score: -0.250 true Kuipers skill score: -0.063
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.092 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.014 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.906 1.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00