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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200010-200012

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
58
7
0
65
0
0
0
0
59
7
0
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
88
11
0
98
0
0
0
0
89
11
0
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.121
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.02 9.29 --
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.318
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.004
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.318
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.017
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.017 0.108 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.002 0.002 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.017 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.892 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00