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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200011-200101

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0
6
4
2
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
49
11
2
62
4
2
0
6
53
13
2
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
33
0
100
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
72
16
3
91
6
3
0
9
78
19
3
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.162
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.77 3.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.257
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.018
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.257
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.043
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.172 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.016 -0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.846 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.823 1.000
samples: 6 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 8.82 %coverage: 100.00