CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200011-200101

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
13
2
65
3
0
0
3
53
13
2
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
74
19
3
96
4
0
0
4
78
19
3
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.191
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 5.00 1.50
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.213
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.009
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.213
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.020
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.011 -0.018
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.800 1.000
samples: 3 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 4.41 %coverage: 100.00