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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200011-200101

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
51
13
2
66
2
0
0
2
53
13
2
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
75
19
3
97
3
0
0
3
78
19
3
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.191
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 5.08 1.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.213
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.006
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.213
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.013
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.197 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.007 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.803 1.000
samples: 2 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 2.94 %coverage: 100.00