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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200011-200101

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
13
2
65
1
0
0
1
51
13
2
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
76
20
3
98
2
0
0
2
77
20
3
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.197
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 5.00 0.50
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.007
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 -0.010
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.800 1.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00