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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200011-200101

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
50
13
2
65
0
0
0
0
51
13
2
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
76
20
3
98
0
0
0
0
77
20
3
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.212
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.02 5.00 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.182
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.008
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.182
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.018
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.020 0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.005 0.004 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.020 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.800 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00