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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012-200102

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
8
4
4
0
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
23
5
60
4
4
0
8
36
27
5
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
100
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
47
34
7
88
6
6
0
12
53
40
7
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.338
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.22 1.60
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.007
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.032
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.007
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.037
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.359 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.020 -0.047
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.852 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.617 1.000
samples: 8 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 11.76 %coverage: 100.00