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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012-200102

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
6
3
3
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
24
5
62
3
3
0
6
36
27
5
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
100
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
49
35
7
91
4
4
0
9
53
40
7
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.353
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.30 1.20
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.029
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.025
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.029
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.028
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.369 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.042
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.613 1.000
samples: 6 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 8.82 %coverage: 100.00