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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012-200102

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
5
3
2
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
25
5
63
3
2
0
5
36
27
5
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
40
0
100
60
40
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
49
37
7
93
4
3
0
7
53
40
7
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.368
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.33 1.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.051
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.009
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.051
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.010
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.385 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.038
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.926 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.603 1.000
samples: 5 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 7.35 %coverage: 100.00