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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012-200102

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
2
2
0
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
25
5
62
2
2
0
4
34
27
5
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
100
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
48
38
8
94
3
3
0
6
52
41
8
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.30 0.80
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.391 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.009 -0.035
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.926 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.597 1.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00