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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012-200102

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
2
1
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
26
5
63
2
1
0
3
34
27
5
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
33
0
100
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
48
39
8
95
3
2
0
5
52
41
8
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.394
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.33 0.60
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.091
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.406 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 -0.029
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.963 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.587 1.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00