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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200101-200103

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
34
10
48
4
34
10
48

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
9
6
20
4
34
10
48
9
43
16
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
71
21
100
8
71
21
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
13
9
29
6
50
15
71
13
63
24
100

hitrate: 0.208 hitrate: 0.279
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.80
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.47 3.00
Heidke skill score: -0.188 Heidke skill score: -0.081
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.112
Kuipers skill score: -0.188 Kuipers skill score: -0.081
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.138
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.208
threat score:
0.000 0.167 0.185
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.088 -0.030
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.209 0.625
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.792
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.550 0.792
samples: 48 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 70.59 %coverage: 100.00