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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200101-200103

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
33
8
45
4
33
8
45

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
10
8
23
4
33
8
45
9
43
16
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
73
18
100
9
73
18
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
15
12
34
6
49
12
66
13
63
24
100

hitrate: 0.178 hitrate: 0.265
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 5.62
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.53 2.81
Heidke skill score: -0.233 Heidke skill score: -0.103
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.166
Kuipers skill score: -0.233 Kuipers skill score: -0.103
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.199
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.178
threat score:
0.000 0.179 0.151
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.110 -0.061
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.233 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.822
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.565 0.822
samples: 45 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 66.18 %coverage: 100.00