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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200102-200104

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
7
2
2
3
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
8
26
25
59
2
2
3
7
10
28
28
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
29
43
100
29
29
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
12
39
38
89
3
3
5
11
15
42
42
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.439
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.11 0.25
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: 0.159
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: 0.159
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.429
threat score:
0.000 0.426 0.094
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.027 0.001
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.929 0.107
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.559 0.571
samples: 7 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 10.61 %coverage: 100.00