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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200103-200105

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
4
9
0
5
4
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
29
25
59
0
5
4
9
5
34
29
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
56
44
100
0
56
44
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
43
37
87
0
7
6
13
7
50
43
100

hitrate: 0.444 hitrate: 0.485
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.74 0.31
Heidke skill score: 0.167 Heidke skill score: 0.228
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.010
Kuipers skill score: 0.167 Kuipers skill score: 0.228
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.009
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.444
threat score:
0.000 0.453 0.118
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.014 0.005
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.853 0.138
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.556
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.508 0.556
samples: 9 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 13.24 %coverage: 100.00