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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200104-200106

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
16
48
65
2
0
0
2
3
16
48
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
24
72
97
3
0
0
3
4
24
72
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.239
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.06 0.04
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.142
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.019
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.142
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.033
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.246 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 -0.030
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.754 1.000
samples: 2 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 2.99 %coverage: 100.00