CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200104-200106

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
16
48
66
1
0
0
1
3
16
48
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
24
72
99
1
0
0
1
4
24
72
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.239
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.12 0.02
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.142
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.009
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.142
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.017
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.242 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.005 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.758 1.000
samples: 1 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 1.49 %coverage: 100.00