CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200106-200108

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
4
7
7
18
0
0
1
1
4
9
10
23

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
9
18
35
62
0
0
1
1
9
20
38
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
9
9
17
17
30
30
78
0
0
4
4
17
39
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
3
6
13
27
52
93
0
0
1
1
13
30
57
100

hitrate: 0.348 hitrate: 0.284
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 2.00 0.10
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.44 3.10 0.03
Heidke skill score: 0.022 Heidke skill score: -0.075
true Heidke skill score: -0.012 true Heidke skill score: -0.013
Kuipers skill score: 0.022 Kuipers skill score: -0.075
true Kuipers skill score: -0.012 true Kuipers skill score: -0.016
threat score:
0.000 0.350 0.100
threat score:
0.000 0.281 0.026
equitable threat score:
-0.095 -0.003 0.059
equitable threat score:
-0.043 -0.011 0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.778 0.100
probability of detection:
0.000 0.900 0.026
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.611 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.710 0.000
samples: 23 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 34.33 %coverage: 100.00